3ontheway wrote:Feel like, still, our ceiling is realistically lower than what we showed last year. Can they put together 4 awesome games where they make a ton of 3's? Sure, its possible. We have 3 elite college players, and not much else. Relying on those 3 for 60 points and 30 boards every game in order to win is very tough against NCAA tourney teams. We have virtually no depth, and going against deeper teams presents a problem for us. Obviously SA came a long way from December/January version to now, but if he can't make 3's, in reality we are badly missing Nembhard and the variety and play making on the offensive end either getting to the rim or forcing defenders of Trey, Kalk, and Baylor to help, creating more offensive space for us.
Hopefully we shoot our way to the 2nd weekend and beyond!
Go Jays.
JacobPadilla wrote:3ontheway wrote:Feel like, still, our ceiling is realistically lower than what we showed last year. Can they put together 4 awesome games where they make a ton of 3's? Sure, its possible. We have 3 elite college players, and not much else. Relying on those 3 for 60 points and 30 boards every game in order to win is very tough against NCAA tourney teams. We have virtually no depth, and going against deeper teams presents a problem for us. Obviously SA came a long way from December/January version to now, but if he can't make 3's, in reality we are badly missing Nembhard and the variety and play making on the offensive end either getting to the rim or forcing defenders of Trey, Kalk, and Baylor to help, creating more offensive space for us.
Hopefully we shoot our way to the 2nd weekend and beyond!
Go Jays.
I reject the notion that their ceiling is lower. You can argue about where the mean is, but this year's team smacked arguably the best team in the country. If you can do that, in the way they did it, that indicates a pretty high ceiling to me. This year's adjusted efficiency margin is a couple points better than it was at the end of the season last year as well. Last year's team was 21-12 heading into the NCAA Tournament and this year's is 23-9.
This team is capable of playing at a really high level, which we seem to forget after every loss. Creighton is the 10th overall seed in Lunardi's latest projections, which indicates they've accomplished quite a bit this season. Good teams are going to lose earlier than they should because that's how the tournament works, and Creighton certainly could be one of them. But we don't need to head into this acting like Creighton has no shot.
DC_JAY wrote:I would be pleased with another Sweet Sixteen. Last year felt like catching lightning in a bottle. Dismantling Baylor was amazing, but the Jays had a lot of help from the Bracket gods after that. I'm not sure the Jays will ever be so close to winning a national title, as it's easy to forget that if they got past SDSU, they had a very winnable game in the Final Four and had already beaten the eventual champion in the regular season.
Getting to the Sweet Sixteen three times in four years would be incredible and cement this group's legacy among the all-time greats at Creighton.
In last year's run, different players put the team on their backs at key moments. Kalk took over the game against NC State, scoring 31. Next it was Nembhard's turn against Baylor, shooting 4-6 from three and scoring 30. Against Princeton, the Big Three combined for 62. They are going to need to do the same this year.
Compared to last year's team, the lack of a bench isn't so worrying, as last year's starters also played a ton. And while Ashworth is in a slump, I think he can recover. For me, it's the 4 spot that separates the two squads.
Last year in the tournament, Kaluma was solid:
10 pts, 9 rebounds, 4 assists, 1 block (2 TOs) against NC State
11 pts, 7 rebounds, 2 assists, 1 block (4 TOs) against Baylor
10 pts, 6 rebounds, 1 assist, 1 block (2 TOs) against Princeton
12 pts, 5 rebounds, 1 assist, 1 steal (2 TOs) against SDSU
Consistent contributions to scoring and boards. We miss that, especially against the longer and more athletic teams. Not to be defeatist, but I do think last year's squad was a more complete team. That's not to say this team can't do damage. If they play with focus, they can beat anyone.
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