Ethanfor3 wrote:Perhaps the best way I can sum it up for those of us that have been watching college and NBA for the better part of 40 years is that we long for the old days when we think about Justin leaving and whether he's ready or not.
Before the NBA became a developmental league, as a college fan you got a Patrick Ewing, Wayman Tisdale or Hakeem Olajuwon and you got 4 glorious years watching them grow up and become NBA ready. They essentially become part of your "family." Today, if you get that kind of talent, if you're lucky you get two years and just when they're ready to do truly great things ... poof they're gone. College basketball has been changed by the NBA and not for the better.
While I don't think Justin will play significant minutes this year, he ultimately made the right monetary call.
Good luck Justin, we hardly got to know you.
section221jay wrote:STLBluejay wrote:I enjoyed watching Patton play, but he is just not ready, and I doubt he will last long in the pros. I don't blame him for leaving, though. Without a point guard that can distribute to him next year (or no guaranty of one), it is time for him to leave and take the guaranteed payday based on potential upside. Good luck JP!
From a physical and possibly maturity standpoint another year would be beneficial. Assuming he has a work ethic though leaving early won't set him back. Will he be a star right away? No chance. And a year in the D league or riding the bench will give doubters ammunition to say "I told you so".
5 or 6 years from now though the he will either be a star or not but if not it won't be because he didn't say another year. If he lacks the work ethic now he would have lacked it a year from now. I think there is little chance that he "won't last long in the pros". His skill level is too high for that to happen. His body will continue to mature. He will have a medium to long career and make a ton of money.
People seem to think since he's a "center" that he is going to need to be Dwight Howard physically. He will never be that nor will he need to be. I'm far from an NBA observer but I imagine him plaging more like Durant or Nowitski than a back to the basket center. (Please note I said LIKE Durant...not "as good as").
He will be fine.
Realhoops wrote:It will be interesting to come back and look about 5 years from now and assess whether he made the right call. There's simply no way at all for anyone to know right now that this was the right call, or the wrong call, from a financial or developmental point of view.
It's pretty clearly a consensus that he is not even close to being physically or mentally ready to contribute at the NBA level in the immediate future (next year). Another year of work in college, more physical growth, more maturity in that kind of an environment, etc., might have been a big boost to him. A year of focusing on nothing but basketball on an NBA or D-League roster might be a big boost to him. Playing meaningful minutes against quality competition in college next year might have been a big boost. Sitting on a bench and not playing meaningful minutes might hurt. Trying to develop the mental and emotional maturity to handle this as a career, at his age, on the road in the NBA or D-League might be a challenge, or he might grow up really fast and figure it out.
Financially, it's completely understandable to jump at the dollar signs that he's hearing for this first contract. If he ends up going anywhere that he's been projected of late, that's a lot of guaranteed money to pass up, especially for someone who grew up in Omaha without millionaire parents. And if he develops over the next few years, he could set himself up for a great second contract, where the really big money usually comes. If he had returned and developed in college, he might have put himself in a better position to make the necessary development for that second contract, or he might not have. If he doesn't develop, he might end up a journeyman or out of the league after the first contract and miss that opportunity. The could have happened whether he returned or not, too.
And none of that even factors in other big considerations like the impact of WHICH team drafts him and how that team does with development, what its needs are immediately and how that might force him into a particular role, the possible risk of injury if he had returned or as he tries to compete with more physically ready players next year, etc., etc., etc.
It's just impossible to know right now whether this looks like the "right" decision -- it depends way too much on what happens to him over the next couple of years. It's impossible to fault a kid for making this call right now. I have a gut feeling it won't turn out to have been the right call, but I sure hope I'm dead wrong on that and it all works out for him.
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