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Re: Seton Hall Game Thread II

Wed Feb 28, 2024 11:02 pm

Addae-Wusu didn’t hurt anyone tonight. Might be the biggest win of the night. Dude is a hack.

Re: Seton Hall Game Thread II

Wed Feb 28, 2024 11:10 pm

Minus the St Johns dud, team is firing on all cylinders, looking like a 3, maybe 2 seed. Close out strong and we can still get to that 3 line. Unfortunate to have dropped those games early to UNLV and Nova, thinking we would be firmly on the 2/3 line otherwise

Re: Seton Hall Game Thread II

Wed Feb 28, 2024 11:11 pm

Trey with 10 dimes, including several that were just gorgeous.

Re: Seton Hall Game Thread II

Wed Feb 28, 2024 11:11 pm

#RollJays wrote:Addae-Wusu didn’t hurt anyone tonight. Might be the biggest win of the night. Dude is a hack.


He and Dre Davis and Bediako straight up playing rugby all night.

Re: Seton Hall Game Thread II

Wed Feb 28, 2024 11:17 pm

They have dog poop computer numbers.

That last ditch blitz was to try to mitigate the disaster of this game.

Re: Seton Hall Game Thread II

Wed Feb 28, 2024 11:24 pm

HandDownManDown wrote:They have dog poop computer numbers.

That last ditch blitz was to try to mitigate the disaster of this game.

You like their starters pressing our bench down 25 with less than 3 min left? lol

Re: Seton Hall Game Thread II

Wed Feb 28, 2024 11:26 pm

Realhoops wrote:
#RollJays wrote:Addae-Wusu didn’t hurt anyone tonight. Might be the biggest win of the night. Dude is a hack.


He and Dre Davis and Bediako straight up playing rugby all night.

They might be the biggest beneficiaries of Big East officiating.

Re: Seton Hall Game Thread II

Wed Feb 28, 2024 11:33 pm

Minnesota Jay wrote:
go_jays wrote:
TrueBlueJay wrote:
Nope


Ok, so it's -9.5. Geezuz... tough crowd.

If I use .7 instead .75 for my multiplier OR I use -3 instead of -3.5 for home court advantage, I come up with -10.

If I use.7 instead of .75 AND add -3 instead of -3.5, I get -9.5.



The actual KP projection in this case is 65 possessions and 3.9/100 home court advantage.

((22.9-13.5)+3.9)*.65 = 8.65 projected KP spread

Obviously the market doesn't have to reflect KP exactly


Cool... so I was pretty close. Thought it was closer to 70-75. Wasn't aware of how the court advantage computation was applied, So it's added prior to the possession calculation. So thanks for that. And yes, the market is designed to get equal money on both sides since they are only looking for the juice. That's why they lay off bets to other books. Kinda like re-insurance. They ARE NOT GAMBLERS.

Re: Seton Hall Game Thread II

Wed Feb 28, 2024 11:37 pm

#RollJays wrote:
HandDownManDown wrote:They have dog poop computer numbers.

That last ditch blitz was to try to mitigate the disaster of this game.

You like their starters pressing our bench down 25 with less than 3 min left? lol


That was ridiculous and I hope Mac said something to Holloway about it.

Re: Seton Hall Game Thread II

Wed Feb 28, 2024 11:39 pm

We stay at 12 on Kenpom.

But Adj Efficiency, Adj O and Adj D all go up slightly.
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